Notes1 This article is written as a result of a trip that the author made to Cuba in March 2003. Some of the non-economic aspects of the trip are brought out in an article that has been published elsewhere.2 The economic topics that follow are those that arose in conversations with people from Cuba, or […]
What If U.S.–Cuban Trade Were Based on Fundamentals Instead of Political Policy? Estimating Potential Trade with Cuba
In our analysis, we compare several methods for estimating the unrealized U.S.-Cuban trade potential in the context of the gravity trade model. We are the first to focus on the Hausman-Taylor method for out-of-sample trade projections, and find that this seldom-used method to be the superior choice. The Hausman-Taylor method eliminates the heterogeneity bias that […]
Looking to the Future from the Past: Generational Roles
Most attempts to reflect on Cuba’s future have relied on the assessments of political scientist and others who, while examining a broad spectrum of political, economic and social variables, place emphasis on the role of leadership figures in the transition (for selected representative views see Horowitz and Suchlicki 2001, 533-660). Another alternative, suggested by Strauss […]
Recruitment of Scientists and Development of International Funding Resources in Post Castro Cuba
The objective here to solicit input, gather information, identify sources of funding and ideas to support science and scientists in a post-Castro Cuba. IDENTIFICATION OF POTENTIAL SOURCES OF FUNDING This is the most straight-forward of all these matters. And it boils down to a shopping list of public and private funding sources (see Box 1). […]
Francisco Franco and Fidel Castro: Loyalist vs. Revolutionary? A Preliminary Exploration
In Loyalists & Revolutionaries: Political Leaders Compared, Mostafa Rejai and Kay Phillips develop and test a two-stage model of leadership.1 According to Rejai and Phillips, individual psychology, acquired skills, and situational or environmental characteristics converge and interact in the making of leaders and, at the same time, channel them into either of two opposing paths […]
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